In his recent book The Improbable War, professor Christopher Coker explains that it is “of vital importance that the possibility of a conflict between China and the United States continues to be discussed.” Coker’s rationale for this is simple: “If the United States and China continue to convince themselves that war is too ‘improbable’ to take seriously, it is not they but the rest of the world that may ultimately pay the price.”
The geopolitics of US-China tensions over Korea, as well as the other territorial rows in the South China Sea and in the East Sea regarding Japan, are indeed all profoundly fraught. The risk of a war breaking out between the US and China from these multiple tensions is a real danger. Especially because of Washington’s habit of being high-handed in a region that arguably it has no normative reason for meddling in.
Away from the current chaos in the United States, major developments are progressing, with Iran, Russia and China coordinating on a series of significant moves crucial for the future of the Eurasian continent. With a population of more than five billion people, constituting about two-thirds of the Earth's population, the future of humanity passes through this immense area. Signaling a major change from a unipolar world order based on Europe and the United States to a multipolar world steered by China, Russia and Iran, these Eurasian states are carving out a leading role in the development of the vast continent. As part of the challenges faced by these leading multipolar countries, the disruptive events originating in the post-WWII Euro-Atlantic world order will need to be tackled...
The sped-up deployment of America’s THAAD missile defense system in South Korea this week has triggered alarm over a new arms race in the Asia-Pacific region. Central to regional concerns is the following question: why is the US missile system capable of penetrating deep inside Chinese and Russian territory?..
A large number of Western news media and pundits, particularly those in the United States, have been predicting China’s economic collapse for years. Mainstream US newspapers such as the New York Times and Washington Post have reported for more than 30 years that the Chinese economy will collapse or drown in a sea of debt.
The leakers in the US intelligence community need to stop and if they feel so strongly that they need to give up being spooks in the shadows and have the courage of their convictions to come out into daylight and stand for Congress which is the appropriate democratic body to challenge and hold to account the President of the United States in a politically partisan fashion, not from the comfortable phantom zone of anonymity of Langley or 935 Pennsylvania Avenue...
Hyperbole and daydreaming have been two distinguishing traits of Indian foreign policy under Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s administration.
Throughout the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump blasted China for its protectionist trade policies, currency manipulation and a number of other accusations.
China recently confirmed it was participating in “joint counterterrorism operations” inside Afghanistan. The size of Beijing’s force is still unclear but reports began surfacing last November that it was patrolling in northeastern Afghanistan’s Little Pamir region. Chinese mine-resistant ambush-protected (MRAP) vehicles, known as the Norinco VP 11, and Humvee-type vehicles known as the Dongfeng EQ2050 were clearly photographed in the remote Shia-populated area.
One of the unintended consequences of pushing hard against Chinese claims in the South China Sea and the East China Sea (including Taiwan) is that these contested zones have given major impetus to China’s growing maritime ethos. What was once a rather far-fetched and controversial idea—the notion that China might build an aircraft carrier—has now morphed over time into the ultimate symbol of China’s re-rise. Now the only question is when the People’s Liberation Army Navy will have something that looks less like a Russian “starter” carrier and more like a Nimitz-class nuclear carrier with all the trimmings.